"Moment of Zen"  cover image

Effective Accelerationism and the AI Safety Debate with Bayeslord, Beff Jezoz, and Nathan Labenz

"Moment of Zen"

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Is There a 1% Chance That We're All Going to Die?

I would agree that there is a true number, right? Like that's fine. I don't know what the number is. I think probably those estimates are just a little bit like pulled out of thin air and not like it's sort of like maps to like you're feeling about it like, but not very well. It still seems really hard to make the case that we're not looking at something that's at least cracking north of 1%, which for me is enough to take it like extremely seriously. But taking these sort of irreversible actions that are, you know, sort of a priori, seemingly very likely to backfire.

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