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The Fed Has Much More Work To Do

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

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Is the US Economy Already in Recession?

Jobless claims continue to suggest that there's a supply and demand imbalance for labor. The longest lag with respect to that inversion between the nominal plate compensation on a three month annualized basis and the policy rate to recession is six months. And so this is either saying we're either more likely in recession or going to be a recession by middle of this year. This is a Fed that should be easing right now.

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