Planning is Guessing (Season 2)
REWORK
00:00
How Much Is This?
A plan sounds i map of reality. And a guess clearly does not is conjecture. It's just an idea, and a fussy one at that. A related way of seeing the world and making decisions is to think in bets. Sometimes we'll even take a bet that's a long shot,. knowingly up front, you know what, i only think there's 20, 30 % chance this is going to pan out. But if it does, whow. Wouldn't that be great? And if it doesn't, what's the cost? What's the price of taking this bet?"
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