This chapter explores the challenges of predicting election outcomes in light of recent unexpected shifts in Democratic nominees. The discussion highlights the impact of these changes on polling dynamics, candidate momentum, and the overall complexity of electoral forecasting.
What can we learn from the people who put everything on the line? Nate Silver talked to just about every type of gambler – poker players, venture capitalists, crypto traders – to find out.
Silver joins Ricky Mulvey for a conversation about expected value, Presidential polling, and risk. They also discuss:
- Why Adam Neumann keeps getting money.
- DraftKings’s surcharge for winning bets.
- Why bubbles are bigger in meme-ified worlds.
Companies mentioned: DKNG, MSFT
Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guest: Nate Silver
Producer: Mary Long
Engineer: Dez Jones, Chace Pryzlepa
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