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Are Markets Really Priced For A Recession? | John Normand

The Macro Trading Floor

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Bond Vol Is Coming Down

Bond vol has come down inflation expectation holy crap like front end inflation swaps are 2% basically in the US and not that far away. That's an extremely high conviction and rapid decline in inflation So what do I make of the duration trade? In October was a much better trade than it is now from a risk reward perspective for sure. But at the very front end you have still some resistance from from markets and the care is pretty good so you're right on this story.

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