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How Much Can I Spend in Retirement? - with Dr. Wade Pfau

Afford Anything

Are You More Exposed to Sequence Risk When Interest Rates Are Low?

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Low bond yields are very good predictors that bond retuns will be lower. And when interest rates are low, there's more stress. For much of us history, a portfolio is generating off enough income that you could spend four % without having to spend down principle. But today, you could build a 30 year ladder of treasury inflation protected securities and not be able to use a four % withdrawal rate because interest rates are too low. That's beyond what the bon yield curve can support. So if you're trying to spend four % to day, you're more exposed to sequence risk because you have to get capital gains. Your portfolios not generating enough income to do that. If you don't

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