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How Much Can I Spend in Retirement? - with Dr. Wade Pfau

Afford Anything

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Are You More Exposed to Sequence Risk When Interest Rates Are Low?

Low bond yields are very good predictors that bond retuns will be lower. And when interest rates are low, there's more stress. For much of us history, a portfolio is generating off enough income that you could spend four % without having to spend down principle. But today, you could build a 30 year ladder of treasury inflation protected securities and not be able to use a four % withdrawal rate because interest rates are too low. That's beyond what the bon yield curve can support. So if you're trying to spend four % to day, you're more exposed to sequence risk because you have to get capital gains. Your portfolios not generating enough income to do that. If you don't

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