When we start learning about probability, it's very theoretical. If you're going to first collect your data and then say questions like, what happens if we flip two coins? What's our probability of getting two heads? And that becomes theoretical, you move away from the data pretty quickly. So whereas an individual can't, we can't assume that we're going to get to the theoretical one. And if we thought we were, we wouldn't go into the casino, cause it's a losing be. All right? I know that tim has like a thousand questions off of what you've said. So i will hand over to him.
Our podcast junkie co-host heard the following statement on another podcast a while back when he was out for a jog: "I actually think the word 'uncertainty' is used in English in a very different way than the word 'uncertainty' is used in statistics." He almost ran into a tree (causation is unclear: he's not known for his gross motor skills, which may have been a confounder). Not only is that quote, essentially, the theme for this episode, but the person who said it, Dr. Rebecca Goldin from George Mason University, was our guest! And we are absolutely CERTAIN that it was every bit as enlightening a discussion as it was a fun one! For complete show notes, including links to items mentioned in this episode and a transcript of the show, visit the show page.