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Surveillance: US Inflation Cools

Bloomberg Surveillance

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The Best Real-Time Indicator of Recession

Deutsche Bank's John Defterios: Some of the context around Chair Powell's comments was lost. Initial jobless claims ticked up to 1.49 million, which is a real-time indicator of recession. He says if you continue to see that rise, it is something that tells you the labor market is beginning to materially listen.

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