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How to Know When Your Strategy Needs to Be Adjusted?
When we started looking at barley prices in Europe in the 1300s, you find that these same types of markets move in the same way. The problem is when you go back further, the data gets extremely sketchy. We do have price records from the middle ages. But there is something about this approach that is very enduring. So I won't necessarily expect that a system that works today will work then,. but I'm interested in how it fails.