Introduction

Every week I interview a new guest to draw out contrarian insights and help you decorrelate your thinking from the crowd. My guests span the worlds of finance, economics, politics, science, history, journalism, entrepreneurship and more. This week's guest is Jack Goldstone who has been credited with predicting recent political instability in the United States. In structural demographic theory revolutions are like earthquakes - there are triggers which catalyze the eruption and pressures that build up slowly underneath it. The triggers of political upheavals are difficult, perhaps even impossible to predict. But the structural pressures, or so structural demographic theory says, are amenable to analysis and forecasting. Today our guest helps me understand the challenges