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Ukrainian Counter Offensive
The conventional view is that this Russian offensive will make a bit more progress in Eastern Ukraine, but eventually kind of fizzle out for reasons you laid out and then Ukraine will be back on the offensive again. I think the Russians are the weakest when they're on the offensive, which they're doing right now. But what I'm not seeing is Russia aggregating strike power anywhere. So unless there's some other information out there,. I think the offensive that we see right now is about all they've mobilized so far.