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113: ‘08 Crash Predictor Ivy Zelman on The Biggest Danger Facing Real Estate Today

On The Market

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The Market's Stuck in a Transaction Market

We're probably about 20 plus percent above historic trend lines in terms of how stressed we are. So I think that you have to have a pretty dynamic shift and affordability and alternatively an offering of affordable housing, which we don't have today. And if you look at investing, you know, I don't expect home prices to plunge. We don't expect anything that looks like a GFC. But the question is, do you buy today's values? The returns based on that cost of capital may not be that that is the best place to be doing investing today.

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