Fed Independence Under Political Pressure

At last week's remarkable Federal Reserve meeting, the Fed's decision to cut the baseline interest rate for the first time in 2025 took a backseat to questions over which members would get to vote at the meeting. On this episode, Kathy Jones, Schwab's chief fixed income strategist, joins host Mike Townsend to break down the Fed's struggle to balance inflation concerns with a softening job market—and what they might do if they get it wrong. They also look at the political drama surrounding Fed Governor Lisa Cook and the controversial confirmation of Stephen Miran to the Fed board, spotlighting serious questions about the central bank's independence and the broader implications for financial markets. Kathy shares her insights on the bond market, including the impact of fiscal deficits, Treasury yields, and the weakening dollar. She offers practical considerations for bond investors in a time of uncertainty, emphasizing the importance of a bond's term and quality. 

And Mike provides the latest on two key issues in Washington: the growing risk of a government shutdown and the debate over the future of corporate-earnings-reporting requirements.

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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. 

This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.

International investments involve additional risks, which include differences in financial accounting standards, currency fluctuations, geopolitical risk, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. Investing in emerging markets may accentuate these risks. 

Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks, including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. 

Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk. 

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