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A 2023 Global Macro Outlook | Alfonso Peccatiello & Andreas Steno Larsen

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

How Will Liquidity Affect ETFs in 2023?

If you look at liquidity as a driver of equities, I actually think that we will enter next year, or rather this year. On my calculations, it will actually increase dollar liquidity to the magnitude of roughly 6.3 trillion. To me, that is probably enough to lift S&P 500 to 4,000, maybe just above 4,000. But if you're a long-term investor, there is still the forest, which is a central bank that doesn't really like you pushing the S&P to 4200 or above.

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