
Localized Offensives: The Direction of the Conflict
War on the Rocks
Ukrainian Artillery Ammunition
The Russian military is trying to conserve and that rate of fire was completely unsustainable what they were going through in the spring and summer. I think Russia has a real significant constraint in artillery ammunition ability, particularly because they are fire's military. If they have to conserve and their fire's capacity substantially capped, there's only so much you're going to be able to do to restore the offensive capability. So my basic sense is that this sets us up for either nutritional fighting, the grinds like this going through January, February, or Ukraine military potentially pursuing a, you know, major offensive operation of some kind.
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