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I'm Not Gonna Talk About Donald Trump Cause He's Too Awful.
Huffington post actually said, we're not going to talk about donald trump cause he's too awful. They eventually had to give it up when he literally won the primary for the republican party. My own model when i was in college was like closer to 16%. I think election forecasts, on average, are ar evidently empirically unbiased. Historically, they are less biased than the poles because they can rely on other information.