3min chapter

The Gray Area with Sean Illing cover image

Julia Galef on how to argue better and change your mind more

The Gray Area with Sean Illing

CHAPTER

Are You Accepting Hard Truths?

I think there's a lot to be said for just like making your beliefs explicit enough that the world has the ability to prove you wrong. Professions where people's accuracy rate gets tracked and measured are professions where people are pretty accurate. But if you are making predictions that you and ideally other people are going to be able to see whether they turned out to be accurate or not then those kinds of incentives I think are the most effective at getting you to actually optimize for accuracy.

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