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TTU132: Trend Following Evolution ft. Ed Tricker, CIO of Quant Strategies at Graham Capital Management

Top Traders Unplugged

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Is There a Timing Asymmetry?

We've elected to run our portfolios at a constant level of risk. The asymmetry in returns induces an asymmetry into the timing risk and the timing decision. Equities tend to go up slowly and go down quickly so your odds of missing a good period are sort of not as bad as your odds of saving a bad period. It's the opposite asymmetry. People get careless about it for trend, it's very, very difficult.

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