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What the Fed’s Hawkish Pivot Means for Economic Growth and Markets

Exchanges

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The Fed's Financial Conditions Tightening Is Not Enough, Is It?

The tightening in broad financial conditions, at least as captured by our financial conditions indecx, is really fairly limited so far. It has happened over the course of this year, but it's not particularly large. Vew were currently looking for two point two % growth. That is inclusive of the tightening and financial conditions we've seen so far. Now arguably, that means you have to do more. Because if the market is anticipating the w something similar to our forecast of seven rate hikes, there's no obvious reason that delivering on that should have an appreciable further effect  in tightening financial conditions.

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