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Chuck Watson: “From MAD to NUTS: Risk, Nukes, & Climate Change”

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens

CHAPTER

You Under React or Over React?

After the challenger accident, you had an initial engineering study which basically said, don't launch below forty degrees. And then what happened after challengeer? The opposite. They bumped the criteria up to where they weren't launching. Oh, there's a rain shower out over the bahamas. We'd better not go to day because's it's potentially risky and we don't understand it. You under react or over react to that hazard based on your short term experience,. even thogh the probabilities haven't changed.

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