2min chapter

80,000 Hours Podcast cover image

#105 – Alexander Berger on improving global health and wellbeing in clear and direct ways

80,000 Hours Podcast

CHAPTER

Cluster Thinking Versus Sequence Thinking

Sur holden wrote a post about cluster thinking versus sequence thinking. It's kind of not ever giving tons of weight to a single argument, no matter how powerful it would seem if it was right. So preferring to have many somewhat compelling arguments than just one really compelling calculation that seems good. And so the back and forth on like apatic modesty and closterr thinking might explain why sort of people might not want to go all in on long term issues.

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