The Science of Decision Making

The myth of experience, why we learn the wrong lessons and ways to correct them. The idea came from work done over forty years ago by hedy inhorn myself. We wrote a paper which tried to understandu why are people confident when their judgments e very bad? You use o mathematical models, but we tried to look and see, was it what caused this and hanotherthing. Robin: "I started thinking about thispopite wit me a long time because i didn't a wrighto about it until 19 two thousand one"