The markets are telling you what they think will be in high demand over the months ahead. Anything that has safety and liquidity attached to it is going to do well during a deflationary period. Long duration and bonds, especially in the middle part of the curve toward the end of the curve, should outperform if we're heading into this type of time. Another one which seems counterintuitive is gold because people perceive of gold as an inflation hedge. It's actually a good hedge against what Keynes call the twin-eat-twin monetary evils.
Rebecca Hotsko interviews Jeff Snider in a discussion about the global economy and markets. They delve into topics such as the current state of the 3m10yr yield curve, which is the most inverted it has been in 40 years, and what this implies for market expectations and more!
Jeff is the host of the Eurodollar University Channel and Chief Strategist at Atlas Financial.
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00 - Intro.
02:06 - Jeff’s current outlook for the global economy and markets.
05:44 - Why the 3m10yr yield curve is the most inverted it has been in 40 years and what this is telling us about the market's expectations going forward?
10:16 - Why all data is pointing to deflation driven more by unemployment not inflation risk going forward?
21:56 - What impact does deflation have on financial markets and asset prices?
25:03 - How the two sources of deflation transpire differently through the economy and financial markets?
39:22 - Will the US run out of money by June?
39:37 -What implications does raising the debt ceiling have in the US and global economy?
45:49 - Why Jeff believes the crisis led by the banking sector isn’t over and there is more to come.
*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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