Middle East risks
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Context and Dynamics: Leading up to the October 7th Attacks
This chapter analyzes the regional context and dynamics that contributed to the October 7th attacks, including the Israeli settlement expansion, political divisions in Israel, the Biden administration's support for the Abraham Accords, and the marginalization of the Palestinian cause. It also discusses the weakening of core Arab states, the rise of Gulf states, Israel's economic power, internal debates within Hamas, distractions of Israel, weakening of the Palestinian Authority, normalization deals, and Iran's growing confidence in the region.
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