Pulling The Thread with Elise Loehnen cover image

Igniting Creativity (Ozan Varol)

Pulling The Thread with Elise Loehnen

00:00

The Negative Effects of Media Claim on Expert Predictions

Experts fail to beat a simple algorithm that assumes what happened last year will happen again this year. The more media appearances you made, the less accurate your predictions were. Experts are paid to make these really confident declarations about what's going to happen with the economy and politics. And so they're likely to then mislead themselves.

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