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#150 – Tom Davidson on how quickly AI could transform the world

80,000 Hours Podcast

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Assessing Effective Compute for AGI

This chapter explores the concept of 'effective compute' in AI, emphasizing how advanced algorithms may lead to reduced computational requirements for achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). It discusses the evolving landscape of compute predictions, highlights a model for variable manipulation, and reveals that current estimates for AGI's requirements might be overly optimistic due to rapid technological advancements.

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