SI268: Are Investors Wrongly Positioned for the New World Order? ft. Cem Karsan
Top Traders Unplugged
The Link Between Global Conflicts, Military Spending, and Inflation
Exploring the relationship between global conflicts, military spending, and inflation, and how these factors could hinder central banks' control over interest rates.
Cem Karsan returns to help us uncover the art of tail hedging and whether he views the January 2024 OpEx as a possible inflection point and start of a new bear market. We discuss the latest events in the macro space, especially regarding the conflict in the Middle East, and how it impacts markets, why Niels believes we are probably heading towards a world where investors are completely wrongly positioned and why it is important to think differently when it comes to asset allocation. Lastly, Cem explains how the incoming holiday season acts as a volatility compression mechanism, what he took away from the recent CBOE RMC Conference and much more.
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:08 - What has been on Cem's radar recently?
03:15 - Industry performance update
05:25 - Q1, Tim: What systematic strategies would Cem suggest for hedging risk from a risk premia strategy with a trend following bias?
12:20 - Q2, Rick: Does Cem view the Jan 2024 OpEx as a possible inflection point (to the downside)?
15:52 - What is new in the macro space?
23:16 - Is the MOVE index behaving as it should?
27:43 - Is Japan a joker when it comes to interest rates?
32:17 - Hidden dangers?
36:12 - Wars - a driver of spending, deficits and inflation
40:28 - What current Flows are telling us
45:48 - Cem's takeaways from the CBOE RMC Conference
01:02:33 - Thanks for listening
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