
Thinking About Macro
The Memo by Howard Marks
Investing in Macro Forecasts
Most macro forecasts are likely to turn out to be either, a, unhelpful consensus expectations or b, non consensus forecasts that are rarely right. I can count on one hand the investors i know who successfully base their decisions on macro forecasts. The rest invest from the bottom up, one investment at a time. They buy when they think they've found bargains, and sell things they consider overpriced,. mostly without reference to the makro outlook....
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