The Prior Probability of Abraham Lincoln Existing

Lincoln is an absurdly improbable, orderly incredible figure. The stuff of legends, and, quite literally, legends. We've got an absolute response to any testimony that the magical white house fairy existed. It's far too unlikely. You may as well gather testimony that i'm the tooth fairy. There are no lincolns now, which means that there were no lincorns then. And we all know there's no one like that. Oh, but a l Lincoln lived a long time ago, so we can't check with witnesses. How convene. Welthat's an evidential cop out, isn't it? So to day when we could interrogate witnesses.