2min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Is 2022 the Best Year for Polling?

Polls were not directionally off very much. The polling average was pretty good in Democrats, I think there were a lot of bad GOP candidates in key races and independence reactants strongly to that. This was one of the more accurate years for polling. 2018 was good for polling too, by the way, maybe it's just a Trump thing.

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