2min chapter

The Bayesian Conspiracy cover image

88 – UBI and Other Forms of (Evil?) Taxes

The Bayesian Conspiracy

CHAPTER

The Unsurprised

People often try to not look surprised. Some people may actually be genuinely unsurprised when their models are wrong. Eliezer says that a breeder pointed out, if their models are so vague that they don't understand the implications one way or the other,. Or if they fail to emotionally connect to the implications. For example, an asteroid is going to collide with the Earth in 10 years and they're just like, okay, let's get a little sursy to the doctor.

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