Call Me Back - with Dan Senor cover image

Karl Rove's "Crystal Ball"

Call Me Back - with Dan Senor

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The Average Loss of the House of Representatives in Midterms Since the Thirties

In 2010, Obama was at I think 44 and in 2014, he was like a 42. So they're in the same place that that those are the two midterms for Obama. Same in 2018. This is roughly where Donald J. Trump was in 2018 and the Republicans got walloped. The average loss of the of the incumbent party is in midterms since the thirties has been 28 seats. And I don't think that it's going to be 28 seats. I think it the Republicans are going to gain between 20 and 25.

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