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Thomas Kelly, "Bias: A Philosophical Study" (Oxford UP, 2023)

New Books in Philosophy

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I Believe P, You Believe Not P, Right?

When you disagree with somebody, there's a certain kind of rational commitment as long as you retain your belief. I don't think in the bias case, it's ever a matter of logic alone that, well, I think this set of things is true and so on. In principle, if you keep missing to my right in politics or keepMissing to my left, I might think, look, it's not the case that the next time we disagree, he's any more likely to miss to my right. It's just he's making a bunch of random mistakes. But at a certain point in time,  it'd be irrational to start believing it’s a fair coin

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