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Do You Think a War's Coming?
The only likely scenario for a military flare up seems to be an attempt by ukraine to gain territory in donbas. You don't get the impression that russia is getting ready for a massive offensive against ukraine. So i think it's a pressure instrument in the hands of president putten, who is now using military means for demonstration purposes at this point. But ere ready to move in, if ordered, as leverage with regard the united states and the rest of the rest.