3min chapter

Politix cover image

Emergency Debate Pod: Concepts Of A Plan?

Politix

CHAPTER

Exploring Probability: Philosophy vs. Political Forecasting

This chapter examines the philosophical aspects of probability, using a personal cancer prognosis story to highlight the nuances between inherent probabilities and expert uncertainties. It critiques the application of gambling principles in political forecasting, arguing that such methods may oversimplify the complexities of electoral predictions.

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