4min chapter

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Victor Swishchuk: A Beginner's Guide To Analyzing Oil E&Ps

Value Hive Podcast

CHAPTER

The Number One Commodity Macro Forecast Is Valuation

We use a 12% discount rate in our net asset values. That results in a 15% implied equity return, if you think about a typical capital structure of these companies. Does it mean we're going to be right every year? No. We want 15%. So we do nabs at 12%. Yeah. Again, this comes to the point that we're buying for ourselves. Right?! And so we want to make 15% on our investment annually. Yep. You can have the best company out there. You can pay for it, you know, you could still lose money, right? No matter how good the company.

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