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#45 Biostats & Clinical Trial Design, with Frank Harrell

Learning Bayesian Statistics

CHAPTER

Does a Drug Lower Blood Pressure?

When something's obsolete, nobody gives it a second thought. It's time to forget it. So the fact that the current probability makes all previous probabilities obsolete means that there is nothing remotely like alphi in play. Once you go into forward probabilities versus backward probabilities, everything changes. And so when your design of basian study, if you are using purely basian principles, the design is so much easier.

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