4min chapter

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network cover image

TIP455: Indicators for Crisis Investing w/ Dan Rasmussen

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

CHAPTER

The Market Isn't Good at Sussing That Out

When things are cheap, or when we're in a recessionary period ad and companies get strapped, you might look at things like distress debt. But what's also true is that if you pass forward a year and you look at the multiples, the stuff people as were excited about that did grow better, their multiples come down. The cheap stuff that didn't grow as much, theirMultiples go up. Bankruptcy risk is not compensated. So going and buying things that look like they're going to go back ankrupt, you're just going to end up with a lot of bankrupt things. Buying the small cheap stuff still pretty good. But buying the small cheapstuff

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