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The Market Isn't Good at Sussing That Out
When things are cheap, or when we're in a recessionary period ad and companies get strapped, you might look at things like distress debt. But what's also true is that if you pass forward a year and you look at the multiples, the stuff people as were excited about that did grow better, their multiples come down. The cheap stuff that didn't grow as much, theirMultiples go up. Bankruptcy risk is not compensated. So going and buying things that look like they're going to go back ankrupt, you're just going to end up with a lot of bankrupt things. Buying the small cheap stuff still pretty good. But buying the small cheapstuff