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Evidence, cluelessness and the long term | Hilary Greaves

EA Talks

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The Cost Effectiveness of a Bed Net, Is It Really a Solution?

Even given the 20 20 givewell analysis for a m f, that most of the things i care about have been left out of the calculation. That is, it's still going to be the case, even after you've done the most complicated, remotely plausible cost effectiveness analysis that you've said basically nothing about effects on population size down the generation. It seems extremely unlikely that the mere 60 or so life years i can gain in the life of the person whose premature death my bednet distribution has averted will add up more in value terms over all than all those effects on populationSize i have down the millennia. Oka so the takin point from this slide is, sure, you can

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