Clay Graubard and Robert de Neufville on forecasting the war in Ukraine
80k After Hours
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Is That a Prediction That You're Proud Of?
Proud is a very weird way to feel about getting something like that correct. But i do think as well, last year, andrew and i on global guessing, we correctly forecasted that the us. Would not rejoin the aron nuclear deal. And any attempt at forecasting in my personal life has hashas just been horrible. I'll get five % chances to things, and they happen all the time. So if you ask me o personal y forecast, i will give you one, but just do not trust it. Whatever. It wasn't obvious. Wasn't ob so i remember there at one point, i was like, were noveans goig to have to
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