108 – Rudi Hoffman on How to Beat Death and Taxes
The Bayesian Conspiracy
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How to Explain Why Astrology Isn't a Thing
If people see you visibly attaching greater weight to an argument that is justified in the eyes of the audience at that time, then they also think you're crazy. So you have to go back and first explain why the evidence that you're about to explain is as weighty and important as you're going to lay out with. And so we saying there's a very long chain, but you can't drop any hints that maybe you're working a dozen inferential steps away from the audience or that you have special knowledge they don't because then they think that you're condescending an arrogant. But if you're starting from scratch, somebody who has no idea what you're talking about, then you
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