
Use and limitations of AI in support of OSINT
The World of Intelligence
The Limits of Human Forecasting
There are so many limits to human forecasting and the way humans make decisions I mean another example which you know we might come to is confabulation. The fact that we make up plausible sounding stories to cover gaps in our knowledge what we have with large language models now but when it doesn't know something it can fabulate. All that really matters is does the model have a lower force positive and force negative rate than the human does it like decide that target is a military target accurately? We're as likely to end up in court because mother of a civilian who has been killed or soldier who's died for not making a decision when the model would made them if you delegate authority that would not have
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