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The Impact Uncertainty Map Is a Very Good Methodology
The US Air Force came up with this idea to develop various scenarios and how do they do that now I really go into the methodology you first start with the question you want to answer. Then we gather driving forces for the specific question usually you gather that on post-its when you can do it in real of course now in the pandemic we had to do a lot online. The next step is very analytical step but very very helpful it's called an impact uncertainty map so you take the striving force and you ask yourself the questionHow important is that for my question? You then work with uncertainties on the other side because that's something you still can change if you want to shape the future instead