In Conversation: An OUP Podcast cover image

Jakob Hohwy, “The Predictive Mind” (Oxford UP, 2014)

In Conversation: An OUP Podcast

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How Do Hypotheses Get Updated?

So, hypothesis are basically prior probabilities in the Bayesian sense. And where do they come from? They're learned over time, they're shaped over time. It's strictly speaking, it's an empirical Bayesian theory. So that the more you use the Bayesian machinery of adjusting your policies and the incoming sensory evidence, how it fits with our policies, the more you shape your priors over time. That gives you then a more and more optimal estimate of the world.

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