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Is the Brain a Pattern Recogniser?
I think there is a tension here between some experiments like Danny Caniman's research on the Twesky and Caniman experiments showing that the brain can fail. And other experiments, more recent ones in particular, that suggest that we are very good basians. We're not very good at verbal reasoning with probabilities. But we become very good when we speak about numbers. So instead of saying there's a one person chance, if you say out of 100 person, there's one that then reasoning becomes much better.