SI294: Lowering the Cost of being Long Commodities ft. Hari Krishnan
Top Traders Unplugged
Introduction
Neil and Hari Krishnan discuss the rising popularity of selling zero-day to expiration options in equity markets, expressing concern about the potential market distortions and risks associated with this trend.
Hari Krishnan returns to the show for a deep dive into commodities. He helps us understand why investing in commodities is not as easy as other markets and why he believes that we are entering a commodity super cycle. We also discuss how to overcome the challenges of holding and storing commodities and why cheap commodities are not always so cheap once you start rolling your futures position. We talk about where his new “virtual storage” concept can add value to a trend following system and much more.
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:07 - What is catching our attention recently?
06:53 - A recap of April
10:14 - Hari's thoughts on trend following
14:30 - The interesting commodities
18:10 - A commodity super cycle inbound?
20:36 - BUT...Commodity Bulls used the same arguments in 2022
22:51 - How commodity storage functions
29:57 - Balancing divergence and convergence
32:26 - How virtual commodity storage works
35:55 - The role of trend following in a regime-based participation
42:47 - How consistent is the virtual warehousing approach?
47:06 - Manual or systematized?
48:59 - Overcoming the challenges of commodities
53:44 - What markets can the method be applied to?
54:16 - Thanks for listening
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