The Importance of Hard Lockdowns

Goma: Whether we do have a sharp rebound is predicated on a hard lockdown now as soon as possible. If it drags out, we lose the option to return to square one. I think you agree with me that the US and Australia ought to implement hard lockdowns. Now, like Boris Johnson's just announced, as we're recording this, but what do you think? What's your subjective probability that a triumphant beast, Goma, will do that?