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Annie Duke: Decision-making Secrets from a World Series of Poker Champion

Pattern Breakers

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What Makes a Great Decision?

A great decision is a forecast of the future, right? So the better your forecast of thefuture, that's how we can tell that a decision is great. A great decision process is one in which you have identified as well as you can what the reasonable set of possibilities are for any outcome that you're considering. That you have a really good sense, in other words, that you can see the luck.

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