Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

What we really mean when we say that something will "probably" happen (with Walt Hickey)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

CHAPTER

Understanding Probability Through Simulation Models

This chapter explores the intricacies of interpreting simulation-derived probabilities used in forecasting models, such as those for sports and weather. It highlights the importance of validating these simulations against actual outcomes and includes a note on the complexities of understanding precipitation probabilities.

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