3min chapter

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network cover image

TIP559: Mastering the Market Cycle by Howard Marks

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

CHAPTER

The Great Financial Crisis

When investors feel risk is low, they overestimate future expectations and they're too optimistic. This leads to higher than average future expected returns and lower than average potential downside risk. Howard says when others fail to worry about risk and fail to apply caution, we must in turn be more cautious. He points to the example of the great financial crisis as the greatest financial downswing of his lifetime.

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